FBC Melgar vs Universitario de Deportes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
9%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
26.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FBC Melgar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
GAL
2 - 1
MEL
48%
28%
24%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2008 |
MEL
2 - 1
SAM
39%
27%
34%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
MEL
1 - 1
VAL
55%
24%
21%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
SPO
0 - 2
MEL
51%
27%
22%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2008 |
MEL
1 - 0
ALI
51%
25%
24%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Universitario de Deportes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
UNI
5 - 1
SBO
59%
23%
18%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2008 |
VAL
0 - 0
UNI
41%
28%
31%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
ALI
1 - 0
UNI
39%
28%
33%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2008 |
UNI
2 - 1
ATL
53%
26%
21%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
BOL
1 - 1
UNI
47%
28%
24%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |