FBC Melgar vs Univ. San Martín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.7%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
26%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
26.2%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FBC Melgar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2014 |
GAR
1 - 1
MEL
50%
26%
24%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2014 |
MEL
2 - 2
AYA
54%
25%
21%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2014 |
UNI
1 - 2
MEL
42%
29%
29%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2014 |
MEL
1 - 1
LEO
52%
26%
22%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2014 |
MEL
2 - 2
UTC
57%
25%
18%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Univ. San Martín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2014 |
SAM
4 - 0
UTC
51%
26%
23%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2014 |
COM
1 - 0
SAM
35%
27%
38%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2014 |
SAM
3 - 1
LOS
48%
27%
25%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2014 |
SPC
0 - 0
SAM
62%
21%
17%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2014 |
SAM
0 - 1
CIE
58%
24%
18%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |