FBC Melgar vs Univ. San Martín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.4%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
43.8%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FBC Melgar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
CNI
1 - 3
MEL
48%
26%
26%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
MEL
1 - 1
AUR
35%
29%
36%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
UNI
0 - 3
MEL
64%
23%
14%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | +2 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
MEL
3 - 0
VAL
39%
27%
35%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
COB
2 - 1
MEL
66%
21%
13%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Univ. San Martín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
SAM
2 - 1
HUA
53%
24%
22%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
LEO
1 - 0
SAM
45%
25%
30%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
SAM
5 - 1
COM
58%
24%
18%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
SAM
1 - 0
CNI
61%
23%
16%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
AUR
1 - 0
SAM
47%
25%
28%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |