FBC Melgar vs Univ de Chile analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.2%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
35.5%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FBC Melgar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2018 |
MEL
2 - 2
ALI
52%
25%
23%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
ALI
3 - 3
MEL
42%
28%
31%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
SAM
1 - 1
MEL
32%
27%
41%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2018 |
MEL
0 - 1
CAN
68%
19%
12%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2018 |
UTC
3 - 0
MEL
28%
29%
44%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Univ de Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2019 |
UNI
1 - 2
UCH
32%
23%
45%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
CUR
1 - 2
UCH
21%
25%
55%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
UCH
0 - 0
IQU
59%
23%
18%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 2
UCH
20%
24%
56%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
UCH
2 - 0
UCO
42%
26%
32%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |