FBC Melgar vs Univ. César Vallejo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.9%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
31.5%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FBC Melgar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2015 |
JUN
5 - 0
MEL
62%
22%
16%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
MUN
1 - 1
MEL
38%
29%
33%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
MEL
3 - 1
ALI
45%
27%
28%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2015 |
CIE
1 - 3
MEL
43%
28%
29%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Jul. 2015 |
MEL
1 - 0
AYA
62%
22%
16%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Univ. César Vallejo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
VAL
3 - 2
CIE
64%
22%
15%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
AYA
2 - 2
VAL
30%
26%
44%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2015 |
VAL
1 - 1
UTC
70%
19%
11%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2015 |
ALI
1 - 1
VAL
22%
26%
52%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2015 |
VAL
0 - 1
COM
58%
23%
19%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | -1 |