FBC Melgar vs Univ. César Vallejo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.7%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
28.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FBC Melgar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2013 |
MEL
2 - 0
PAS
32%
26%
42%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
GAL
1 - 2
MEL
43%
26%
31%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2013 |
PAS
3 - 0
MEL
61%
23%
16%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2013 |
MEL
2 - 2
UNI
45%
28%
27%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2013 |
SPC
0 - 0
MEL
71%
18%
11%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Univ. César Vallejo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
VAL
2 - 0
PAC
50%
28%
23%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2013 |
AYA
0 - 0
VAL
46%
27%
28%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 2013 |
VAL
0 - 0
LEO
46%
27%
27%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2013 |
ALI
0 - 1
VAL
46%
27%
26%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2013 |
VAL
2 - 2
AUR
44%
28%
28%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |