FBC Melgar vs Univ. César Vallejo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.7%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
34.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FBC Melgar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
COB
2 - 1
MEL
66%
21%
13%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
MEL
2 - 2
AYA
37%
26%
37%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
CIE
2 - 3
MEL
65%
20%
15%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2011 |
MEL
2 - 1
SPC
37%
27%
36%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2011 |
MEL
0 - 1
ALI
52%
25%
23%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Univ. César Vallejo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2011 |
SFE
2 - 0
VAL
60%
22%
18%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
VAL
2 - 0
HUA
36%
26%
38%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
LEO
3 - 1
VAL
61%
23%
16%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2011 |
VAL
0 - 2
SAM
34%
27%
39%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2011 |
VAL
1 - 1
SFE
37%
26%
37%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |