FBC Melgar vs Unión Comercio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.9%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
20%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FBC Melgar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
MEL
2 - 0
UNI
64%
22%
14%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
SPO
0 - 0
MEL
34%
31%
35%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
MEL
2 - 0
GAR
47%
26%
27%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2015 |
HUA
3 - 2
MEL
42%
27%
30%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2015 |
MEL
5 - 0
LEO
62%
22%
16%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Unión Comercio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2015 |
COM
3 - 1
CIE
59%
24%
18%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
AYA
4 - 0
COM
33%
27%
40%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
COM
2 - 0
UTC
63%
22%
16%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2015 |
ALI
2 - 1
COM
30%
28%
42%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2015 |
COM
1 - 4
SPC
41%
27%
32%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | -1 |