FBC Melgar vs Unión Comercio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.1%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
21.7%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FBC Melgar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
MEL
2 - 0
PAC
40%
29%
31%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2013 |
UTC
1 - 1
MEL
40%
28%
31%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
MEL
1 - 2
AYA
49%
26%
25%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2013 |
MEL
1 - 2
CIE
53%
25%
22%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
LEO
0 - 0
MEL
51%
26%
24%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Unión Comercio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
COM
2 - 1
ALI
41%
28%
31%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
AUR
2 - 0
COM
63%
22%
15%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
COM
1 - 1
CIE
54%
25%
22%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
HUA
1 - 0
COM
57%
24%
19%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
COM
2 - 0
SAM
45%
27%
28%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |