FBC Melgar vs Unión Comercio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.6%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
22%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FBC Melgar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2012 |
ALI
0 - 0
MEL
50%
26%
24%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
SBO
1 - 1
MEL
30%
27%
43%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2012 |
MEL
2 - 0
LEO
43%
27%
30%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
AUR
2 - 0
MEL
57%
24%
19%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
MEL
1 - 0
GAR
37%
29%
34%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Unión Comercio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
COM
1 - 2
VAL
52%
26%
23%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2012 |
ALI
1 - 1
COM
52%
26%
22%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
GAR
3 - 0
COM
60%
23%
17%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2012 |
COM
1 - 0
AUR
47%
28%
25%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
COM
2 - 1
SBO
59%
23%
18%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | +1 |