FBC Melgar vs Total Chalaco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.4%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
24.3%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FBC Melgar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
SPC
3 - 1
MEL
58%
23%
20%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2010 |
MEL
1 - 1
AUR
41%
28%
31%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
MEL
5 - 0
UNI
35%
30%
35%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | +2 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
TOT
2 - 2
MEL
56%
23%
22%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
MEL
3 - 1
HUA
33%
28%
39%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Total Chalaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
TOT
0 - 1
VAL
46%
25%
29%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
HUA
2 - 2
TOT
59%
24%
17%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
HUA
3 - 0
TOT
56%
25%
19%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
TOT
2 - 2
MEL
56%
23%
22%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
TOT
0 - 3
UNI
46%
27%
27%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | -1 |