FBC Melgar vs Total Chalaco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.1%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
26.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FBC Melgar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
CIE
2 - 1
MEL
64%
22%
15%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
UNI
2 - 2
MEL
61%
23%
16%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
MEL
2 - 1
GAL
50%
27%
24%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2008 |
SAM
0 - 1
MEL
61%
24%
15%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
VAL
1 - 1
MEL
55%
25%
20%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Total Chalaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
TOT
0 - 0
AUR
54%
25%
21%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
TOT
3 - 1
AYA
56%
25%
19%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
TOT
3 - 0
UTC
66%
21%
13%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
AGU
2 - 1
TOT
44%
28%
28%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
ACO
1 - 1
TOT
35%
28%
37%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |