FBC Melgar vs Sporting Cristal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.5%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
19.6%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FBC Melgar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 1984 |
POR
4 - 0
MEL
38%
24%
38%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1984 |
ULA
1 - 0
MEL
30%
23%
47%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 1984 |
SPC
3 - 2
MEL
46%
23%
31%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1982 |
OLI
4 - 0
MEL
68%
18%
14%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 1982 |
AME
0 - 2
MEL
61%
20%
19%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 1984 |
ULA
0 - 1
SPC
39%
24%
38%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1984 |
POR
1 - 0
SPC
41%
24%
35%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1984 |
SPC
3 - 2
MEL
46%
23%
31%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1981 |
COB
6 - 1
SPC
65%
19%
16%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 1981 |
UCH
1 - 1
SPC
55%
22%
23%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |