FBC Melgar vs Sport Victoria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.2%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
12.5%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FBC Melgar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2019 |
ALI
1 - 1
MEL
43%
25%
32%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2019 |
MEL
0 - 1
BIN
49%
23%
28%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 2019 |
CAN
1 - 5
MEL
39%
27%
34%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2019 |
MEL
1 - 2
VAL
42%
26%
32%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2019 |
MEL
0 - 0
UCE
35%
24%
41%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Sport Victoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2019 |
SPO
3 - 2
BIN
8%
12%
80%
|
51 | 70 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2019 |
SPO
0 - 2
ALI
19%
22%
59%
|
52 | 67 | 15 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 2019 |
UNI
1 - 0
SPO
69%
19%
12%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2019 |
SFC
1 - 0
SPO
56%
24%
20%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2019 |
SPO
2 - 1
LOS
37%
24%
39%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +1 |