FBC Melgar vs Sport Rosario analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.4%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.2%
23.4%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FBC Melgar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
MEL
2 - 0
AYA
58%
24%
19%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2017 |
MEL
2 - 0
ALI
64%
21%
14%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2017 |
ALI
2 - 1
MEL
56%
25%
20%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
MEL
0 - 2
GAR
40%
27%
33%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
SAM
0 - 2
MEL
48%
26%
26%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Sport Rosario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2017 |
SRP
0 - 1
ALI
43%
30%
27%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
GAR
2 - 1
SRP
58%
24%
18%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
SRP
1 - 1
SAM
61%
24%
16%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2017 |
COM
0 - 1
SRP
46%
27%
27%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
SRP
1 - 1
HUA
50%
28%
22%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |