FBC Melgar vs Sport Loreto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.6%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.5%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.9%
14.5%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FBC Melgar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2015 |
GAR
1 - 0
MEL
55%
25%
20%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
MEL
1 - 0
HUA
57%
24%
20%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2015 |
LEO
0 - 3
MEL
44%
29%
28%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
MEL
1 - 1
SAM
53%
25%
23%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
MEL
3 - 1
CIE
56%
23%
22%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Sport Loreto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2015 |
SPO
1 - 0
CIE
44%
27%
29%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
AYA
1 - 0
SPO
51%
25%
24%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2015 |
SPO
2 - 1
UTC
49%
26%
25%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2015 |
ALI
1 - 0
SPO
41%
27%
32%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
SPO
0 - 0
COM
29%
25%
46%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | +1 |