FBC Melgar vs Sport Boys Association analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.6%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.2%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.4%
11%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FBC Melgar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
UNI
1 - 1
MEL
36%
28%
36%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
MEL
3 - 0
AYA
69%
20%
11%
|
73 | 55 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
ADT
1 - 1
MEL
22%
29%
50%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2022 |
MEL
2 - 1
BIN
62%
23%
16%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
VAL
3 - 2
MEL
32%
28%
40%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Sport Boys Association
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
SBO
3 - 5
SPC
16%
23%
62%
|
58 | 76 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
MAN
0 - 0
SBO
41%
27%
33%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2022 |
SBO
2 - 0
ALI
40%
26%
35%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +2 |
| 29 Sep. 2022 |
AGP
3 - 0
SBO
58%
23%
20%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
SBO
1 - 0
CAN
56%
24%
20%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |