FBC Melgar vs Sport Boys Association analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
20.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FBC Melgar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
GAR
2 - 0
MEL
62%
23%
15%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2012 |
MEL
1 - 1
AUR
41%
28%
31%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
GAL
0 - 0
MEL
47%
27%
27%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2012 |
MEL
1 - 2
SPC
38%
27%
35%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Jul. 2012 |
CIE
2 - 0
MEL
45%
25%
30%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Sport Boys Association
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
SBO
0 - 1
COM
34%
27%
39%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2012 |
VAL
2 - 2
SBO
61%
23%
16%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2012 |
SBO
0 - 1
SAM
31%
27%
42%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Jul. 2012 |
GAR
1 - 1
SBO
69%
20%
12%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 2012 |
SBO
0 - 0
LEO
29%
28%
43%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |