FBC Melgar vs Sport Boys Association analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
22.4%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FBC Melgar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
MEL
0 - 4
UNI
36%
30%
35%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2010 |
VAL
1 - 0
MEL
59%
23%
18%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2010 |
LEO
3 - 1
MEL
61%
23%
16%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 2010 |
MEL
2 - 0
ALI
56%
24%
20%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Jul. 2010 |
HUA
3 - 0
MEL
55%
25%
21%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Sport Boys Association
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2010 |
SAM
2 - 1
SBO
70%
19%
11%
|
61 | 78 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2010 |
SBO
3 - 1
HUA
32%
26%
42%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2010 |
VAL
2 - 1
SBO
65%
21%
14%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 2010 |
SBO
0 - 0
LEO
28%
27%
45%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | +1 |
| 18 Jul. 2010 |
ALI
4 - 0
SBO
46%
26%
29%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |