FBC Melgar vs Sport Boys Association analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.4%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
21.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FBC Melgar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2008 |
MEL
1 - 1
ALI
48%
27%
25%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2008 |
CIE
1 - 0
MEL
65%
22%
14%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2008 |
MEL
1 - 1
ATL
49%
26%
25%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2008 |
AUR
1 - 0
MEL
56%
26%
18%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2008 |
MEL
1 - 0
SPC
48%
27%
25%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Sport Boys Association
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2008 |
ALI
0 - 0
SBO
49%
25%
26%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2008 |
BOL
3 - 0
SBO
52%
25%
23%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2008 |
SBO
2 - 1
ALI
36%
29%
35%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2008 |
CIE
1 - 0
SBO
65%
20%
14%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2008 |
SBO
2 - 1
ATL
33%
27%
40%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |