FBC Melgar vs Sol de América analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.1%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
21%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FBC Melgar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 1982 |
MEL
0 - 3
OLI
40%
26%
33%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1982 |
MEL
2 - 1
MUN
64%
19%
18%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Sol de América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 1982 |
MUN
0 - 3
AME
54%
21%
25%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1982 |
OLI
1 - 1
AME
76%
14%
10%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 1980 |
COL
1 - 1
AME
70%
17%
14%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1980 |
OHI
2 - 0
AME
55%
21%
24%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 1980 |
CCP
0 - 0
AME
59%
20%
21%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |