FBC Melgar vs San Simón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.9%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.7%
15.4%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FBC Melgar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2014 |
VAL
1 - 2
MEL
49%
27%
25%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
MEL
1 - 1
AUR
45%
27%
28%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
SAM
0 - 2
MEL
46%
27%
27%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
MEL
2 - 2
GAR
49%
27%
24%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2014 |
AYA
2 - 0
MEL
42%
27%
31%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
San Simón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 1
UNI
34%
29%
37%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2014 |
UTC
3 - 0
SAN
45%
28%
28%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 0
AYA
37%
28%
35%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2014 |
LOS
0 - 2
SAN
56%
24%
20%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2014 |
SAN
2 - 3
SPC
29%
29%
42%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | 0 |