FBC Melgar vs Portuguesa FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.2%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.4%
11.4%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FBC Melgar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1984 |
MEL
0 - 1
ULA
76%
14%
10%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1984 |
MEL
2 - 0
SPC
61%
20%
20%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 1984 |
POR
4 - 0
MEL
38%
24%
38%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 1984 |
ULA
1 - 0
MEL
30%
23%
47%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 1984 |
SPC
3 - 2
MEL
46%
23%
31%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Portuguesa FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 1984 |
SPC
2 - 1
POR
63%
20%
17%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1984 |
POR
1 - 2
ULA
62%
20%
19%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 1984 |
POR
4 - 0
MEL
38%
24%
38%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | +2 |
| 21 Mar. 1984 |
POR
1 - 0
SPC
41%
24%
35%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1984 |
ULA
2 - 0
POR
48%
22%
30%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | -1 |