FBC Melgar vs Juan Aurich Chiclayo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.9%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
31.3%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FBC Melgar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
GAL
0 - 0
MEL
47%
27%
27%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2012 |
MEL
1 - 2
SPC
38%
27%
35%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Jul. 2012 |
CIE
2 - 0
MEL
45%
25%
30%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Jul. 2012 |
MEL
1 - 0
AYA
46%
26%
28%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Jul. 2012 |
ALI
0 - 0
MEL
56%
24%
20%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Juan Aurich Chiclayo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2012 |
AUR
2 - 1
AYA
56%
24%
20%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2012 |
VAL
0 - 0
AUR
46%
27%
27%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2012 |
AUR
0 - 0
SAM
51%
25%
24%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2012 |
GAR
1 - 0
AUR
55%
25%
19%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Jul. 2012 |
AUR
1 - 0
LEO
49%
25%
25%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |