FBC Melgar vs Juan Aurich Chiclayo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.5%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
33.8%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FBC Melgar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
HUA
3 - 0
MEL
54%
25%
21%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
MEL
3 - 3
ALI
63%
22%
16%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
CIE
0 - 1
MEL
53%
23%
24%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
SAM
0 - 1
MEL
68%
20%
12%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
MEL
3 - 3
SBO
54%
24%
22%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Juan Aurich Chiclayo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
AUR
3 - 0
VAL
52%
24%
24%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
LEO
1 - 1
AUR
56%
24%
20%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
AUR
4 - 1
SBO
67%
20%
13%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
AUR
1 - 1
CNI
65%
21%
14%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
GAL
0 - 1
AUR
30%
29%
42%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | +1 |