FBC Melgar vs Juan Aurich Chiclayo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.8%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
28.6%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FBC Melgar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2009 |
MEL
1 - 1
VAL
43%
27%
30%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
MEL
1 - 0
SPC
37%
28%
35%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
UNI
1 - 0
MEL
61%
23%
17%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
SPO
2 - 2
MEL
38%
28%
35%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2009 |
MEL
2 - 1
ALI
50%
27%
24%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Juan Aurich Chiclayo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
AUR
3 - 0
GAL
61%
23%
16%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2009 |
SPC
1 - 0
AUR
57%
24%
19%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
VAL
3 - 3
AUR
46%
28%
26%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
AUR
3 - 1
HUA
44%
27%
29%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
CIE
5 - 1
AUR
53%
25%
22%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | -1 |