FBC Melgar vs José Gálvez analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
27.1%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FBC Melgar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
MEL
2 - 1
CNI
38%
29%
34%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
SAM
3 - 1
MEL
59%
25%
16%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
MEL
0 - 1
ALI
47%
27%
27%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
AYA
1 - 1
MEL
45%
28%
27%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
MEL
1 - 0
TOT
46%
27%
27%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
José Gálvez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
GAL
0 - 2
SAM
36%
27%
38%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
ALI
1 - 3
GAL
50%
26%
24%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
GAL
1 - 0
AYA
57%
24%
20%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
TOT
4 - 0
GAL
53%
26%
21%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
GAL
1 - 1
CIE
46%
28%
26%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |