FBC Melgar vs Ayacucho FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.1%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.8%
11%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FBC Melgar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
ADT
1 - 1
MEL
22%
29%
50%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2022 |
MEL
2 - 1
BIN
62%
23%
16%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
VAL
3 - 2
MEL
32%
28%
40%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2022 |
ALI
2 - 0
MEL
33%
28%
39%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
CIE
2 - 2
MEL
36%
27%
37%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Ayacucho FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
AYA
0 - 1
SPC
13%
21%
67%
|
54 | 75 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
MAN
0 - 1
AYA
52%
24%
24%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2022 |
AYA
2 - 0
ALI
27%
26%
48%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
AGP
3 - 0
AYA
66%
20%
14%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
AYA
1 - 1
SBO
35%
27%
38%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |