FBC Melgar vs Ayacucho FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.4%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
25.2%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FBC Melgar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2019 |
MUN
1 - 0
MEL
40%
27%
33%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2019 |
MEL
4 - 0
SPO
69%
18%
13%
|
69 | 52 | 17 | +1 |
| 01 Jul. 2019 |
ALI
1 - 1
MEL
43%
25%
32%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2019 |
MEL
0 - 1
BIN
49%
23%
28%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 2019 |
CAN
1 - 5
MEL
39%
27%
34%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Ayacucho FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2019 |
AYA
1 - 0
MAN
58%
23%
19%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2019 |
MUN
2 - 1
AYA
44%
24%
32%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Jul. 2019 |
AYA
1 - 2
HUA
50%
23%
27%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2019 |
SFC
2 - 2
AYA
20%
19%
62%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2019 |
AYA
5 - 0
SAM
54%
23%
23%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | +1 |