FBC Melgar vs Ayacucho FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.9%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
18.6%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FBC Melgar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2017 |
MEL
2 - 0
ALI
64%
21%
14%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2017 |
ALI
2 - 1
MEL
56%
25%
20%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
MEL
0 - 2
GAR
40%
27%
33%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
SAM
0 - 2
MEL
48%
26%
26%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
HUA
2 - 0
MEL
51%
25%
24%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Ayacucho FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
AYA
1 - 2
ALI
33%
28%
39%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2017 |
GAR
2 - 0
AYA
66%
20%
13%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
AYA
3 - 0
SAM
41%
26%
34%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | +2 |
| 21 Aug. 2017 |
COM
4 - 0
AYA
56%
23%
21%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
MUN
2 - 0
AYA
47%
27%
27%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | -1 |