FBC Melgar vs Ayacucho FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.3%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
20.2%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FBC Melgar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2017 |
MEL
0 - 0
SRP
47%
28%
25%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2017 |
SAM
1 - 2
MEL
42%
27%
31%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
MEL
2 - 1
ALI
63%
22%
15%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2017 |
MEL
1 - 2
IND
35%
26%
39%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2017 |
IND
2 - 0
MEL
53%
25%
23%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Ayacucho FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2017 |
AYA
1 - 2
ALI
63%
21%
16%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2017 |
COM
0 - 2
AYA
45%
26%
29%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
AYA
2 - 2
SPC
36%
26%
38%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
AYA
2 - 1
CAN
52%
25%
23%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
AYA
0 - 1
SRP
40%
28%
32%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |