FBC Melgar vs Ayacucho FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.6%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
17.8%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FBC Melgar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2016 |
SPC
2 - 1
MEL
52%
25%
23%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
MEL
1 - 1
UTC
62%
22%
16%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2016 |
MEL
2 - 1
COM
52%
25%
23%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2016 |
UNI
1 - 3
MEL
48%
28%
24%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2016 |
VAL
1 - 2
MEL
45%
28%
28%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Ayacucho FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2016 |
AYA
3 - 0
BOC
40%
26%
35%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
UNI
0 - 2
AYA
60%
24%
17%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
AUR
2 - 0
AYA
54%
23%
22%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
AYA
0 - 0
HUA
41%
27%
32%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2016 |
AYA
2 - 1
UTC
45%
26%
30%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | +1 |