FBC Melgar vs Comerciantes Unidos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.4%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.9%
11.8%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FBC Melgar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
MUN
1 - 0
MEL
36%
29%
35%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2016 |
MEL
1 - 0
SAM
67%
20%
13%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2016 |
MEL
1 - 2
HUA
53%
25%
22%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2016 |
BOC
2 - 2
MEL
47%
28%
26%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2016 |
MEL
5 - 2
UNI
51%
25%
23%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Comerciantes Unidos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2016 |
COM
1 - 0
HUA
38%
30%
33%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2016 |
BOC
2 - 0
COM
58%
23%
19%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2016 |
COM
0 - 0
UNI
42%
28%
30%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2016 |
AUR
1 - 1
COM
56%
24%
20%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2016 |
COM
2 - 0
AYA
48%
25%
27%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |