FBC Melgar vs Cienciano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.4%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
36%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FBC Melgar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2021 |
ATP
1 - 0
MEL
64%
22%
15%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
MAN
2 - 1
MEL
40%
25%
35%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2021 |
AUC
2 - 1
MEL
57%
22%
22%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2021 |
MEL
1 - 3
ALI
57%
23%
19%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2021 |
MEL
1 - 0
ATP
32%
28%
40%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Cienciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2021 |
CIE
0 - 1
SAM
58%
23%
20%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2021 |
UNI
3 - 2
CIE
37%
26%
38%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2021 |
CIE
5 - 2
MAN
58%
23%
19%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
AYA
1 - 1
CIE
41%
25%
34%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2021 |
CAN
0 - 2
CIE
25%
25%
50%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |