FBC Melgar vs Cienciano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.1%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
36.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FBC Melgar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2008 |
ATL
0 - 0
MEL
61%
24%
15%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2008 |
MEL
2 - 1
AUR
42%
27%
30%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2008 |
SPC
2 - 1
MEL
60%
23%
17%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2007 |
BOL
2 - 0
MEL
58%
24%
18%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -2 |
| 09 Dec. 2007 |
MEL
1 - 1
ALI
45%
27%
28%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Cienciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2008 |
FLA
2 - 1
CIE
65%
20%
15%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2008 |
SBO
1 - 0
CIE
29%
28%
43%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2008 |
CIE
4 - 1
VAL
64%
21%
15%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2008 |
CIE
2 - 1
NAC
45%
25%
30%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2008 |
MWA
0 - 0
CIE
49%
24%
28%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |