FBC Melgar vs Aurora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.3%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
16.2%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FBC Melgar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
MEL
1 - 0
ALI
68%
20%
12%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2024 |
AUR
1 - 0
MEL
33%
26%
41%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
VAL
3 - 2
MEL
32%
28%
41%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
MEL
2 - 3
GAR
63%
21%
15%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
MEL
1 - 1
BOL
53%
22%
25%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2024 |
AUR
1 - 0
MEL
33%
26%
41%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2023 |
AUR
3 - 0
VAC
55%
24%
21%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
LIB
0 - 1
AUR
29%
28%
44%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2023 |
AUR
3 - 1
BLO
52%
25%
24%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2023 |
OPE
1 - 0
AUR
49%
26%
25%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |