FBC Melgar vs Los Caimanes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.3%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.2%
23.5%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FBC Melgar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2014 |
SPC
1 - 2
MEL
67%
20%
13%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2014 |
MEL
0 - 0
CIE
57%
24%
19%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
SAM
3 - 1
MEL
40%
26%
34%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
MEL
3 - 0
CIE
55%
24%
21%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
MEL
1 - 1
LOS
46%
25%
29%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Los Caimanes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2014 |
LOS
0 - 0
UTC
52%
26%
22%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2014 |
COM
4 - 0
LOS
37%
28%
35%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | -2 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
CIE
0 - 3
LOS
33%
25%
42%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
LOS
1 - 4
SAM
53%
23%
24%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
MEL
1 - 1
LOS
46%
25%
29%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |