FBC Melgar vs Bolognesi FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.2%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.9%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
33.2%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FBC Melgar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
MEL
1 - 1
ALI
50%
26%
24%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2009 |
SAM
2 - 2
MEL
58%
24%
18%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
MEL
0 - 0
CIE
40%
28%
31%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2009 |
BOL
3 - 2
MEL
38%
27%
35%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
MEL
1 - 3
AUR
43%
28%
29%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Bolognesi FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
TOT
1 - 2
BOL
49%
26%
26%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2009 |
BOL
2 - 0
HUA
47%
26%
27%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
UNI
0 - 0
BOL
54%
25%
21%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2007 |
BOL
2 - 0
MEL
58%
24%
18%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2007 |
SPO
0 - 0
BOL
46%
27%
28%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |