FBC Melgar vs Deportivo Binacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.5%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
23%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23%
15.5%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FBC Melgar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
VAL
3 - 2
MEL
32%
28%
40%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2022 |
ALI
2 - 0
MEL
33%
28%
39%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
CIE
2 - 2
MEL
36%
27%
37%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2022 |
MEL
6 - 2
MUN
66%
22%
13%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2022 |
MEL
0 - 3
IVT
34%
27%
39%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Binacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
BIN
1 - 1
SPC
19%
23%
57%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
MAN
2 - 1
BIN
38%
27%
36%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2022 |
BIN
2 - 0
ALI
42%
25%
32%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
AGP
3 - 1
BIN
50%
25%
25%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2022 |
BIN
3 - 0
SBO
51%
24%
24%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |