FBC Melgar vs Alianza Lima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
28.4%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FBC Melgar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2022 |
CIE
1 - 1
MEL
49%
23%
28%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2022 |
UTC
3 - 1
MEL
30%
27%
44%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
HUA
3 - 0
MEL
32%
26%
41%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
SPC
2 - 2
MEL
54%
24%
22%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
MEL
1 - 0
MAN
51%
25%
23%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
ALI
0 - 1
SPC
29%
25%
46%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
ALI
4 - 2
ALI
34%
28%
38%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
ALI
3 - 1
MAN
53%
25%
22%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
SBO
0 - 0
ALI
41%
27%
32%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
ALI
1 - 1
AGP
54%
24%
21%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |