Perú - Liga 1 Fase 2 Semi-finals
Global 5-5
FBC Melgar vs Alianza Lima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.6%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
23.1%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FBC Melgar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
ALI
3 - 3
MEL
42%
28%
31%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
SAM
1 - 1
MEL
32%
27%
41%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2018 |
MEL
0 - 1
CAN
68%
19%
12%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2018 |
UTC
3 - 0
MEL
28%
29%
44%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2018 |
MEL
1 - 0
COM
69%
19%
12%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
ALI
3 - 3
MEL
42%
28%
31%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
BIN
3 - 2
ALI
34%
31%
36%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | -2 |
| 22 Nov. 2018 |
SAM
1 - 1
ALI
35%
28%
38%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
ALI
2 - 1
HUA
56%
24%
19%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2018 |
AYA
1 - 2
ALI
39%
27%
34%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | +1 |