FBC Melgar vs Alianza Lima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
35.4%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FBC Melgar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
HUA
1 - 0
MEL
57%
23%
20%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
COB
0 - 2
MEL
59%
23%
18%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
MEL
3 - 0
COM
40%
27%
32%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2012 |
VAL
4 - 1
MEL
46%
26%
28%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
MEL
3 - 0
SAM
26%
26%
48%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | +3 |
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2012 |
NAC
1 - 0
ALI
65%
20%
15%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
ALI
3 - 2
COM
52%
26%
22%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
VAL
2 - 0
ALI
33%
28%
40%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2012 |
ALI
1 - 0
NAC
34%
27%
39%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
VAS
3 - 2
ALI
66%
20%
14%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | -1 |