FBC Melgar vs Alianza Lima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
6%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
38.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FBC Melgar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
CIE
1 - 1
MEL
53%
24%
23%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
MEL
1 - 1
CNI
50%
26%
24%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
GAL
1 - 1
MEL
40%
26%
34%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
MEL
1 - 1
TOT
50%
25%
24%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
SPC
3 - 1
MEL
58%
23%
20%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
ALI
0 - 2
VAL
49%
26%
26%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2010 |
AUR
4 - 2
ALI
46%
25%
29%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2010 |
ALI
2 - 0
AUR
51%
25%
24%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
ALI
4 - 1
SBO
59%
23%
17%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
SAM
0 - 1
ALI
49%
26%
26%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |