FBC Melgar vs Alianza Lima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.6%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
26.9%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FBC Melgar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
AYA
1 - 1
MEL
45%
28%
27%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
MEL
1 - 0
TOT
46%
27%
27%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
CIE
2 - 1
MEL
64%
22%
15%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
UNI
2 - 2
MEL
61%
23%
16%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
MEL
2 - 1
GAL
50%
27%
24%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
ALI
1 - 1
AUR
50%
27%
23%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
BOL
1 - 2
ALI
47%
26%
27%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2009 |
ALI
2 - 1
HUA
37%
29%
34%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
ATL
1 - 0
ALI
46%
27%
27%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -2 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
ALI
1 - 0
SPC
39%
28%
32%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | +1 |