FBC Melgar vs Alianza Atl. Sullana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.4%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
19.3%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FBC Melgar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2021 |
MEL
1 - 0
ATP
32%
28%
40%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
BIN
1 - 1
MEL
33%
25%
42%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2021 |
MEL
2 - 0
AUC
32%
24%
44%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
MEL
0 - 2
SAM
57%
24%
20%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2021 |
MET
2 - 3
MEL
38%
25%
37%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza Atl. Sullana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2021 |
ALI
1 - 2
UNI
41%
26%
33%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2021 |
MAN
1 - 3
ALI
56%
23%
22%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2021 |
ALI
0 - 1
AYA
42%
26%
33%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
CIE
1 - 0
ALI
58%
22%
20%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
SAM
2 - 1
ALI
46%
25%
29%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -1 |