Gravina vs Virtus Casarano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.8%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.8%
2-0
5%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.9%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
39.7%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+46%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gravina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
FBC
1 - 1
ASF
44%
25%
32%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
PIC
4 - 1
FBC
74%
17%
9%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
FBC
3 - 2
SOR
41%
25%
34%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 May. 2021 |
USB
0 - 1
FBC
70%
19%
11%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
FBC
1 - 1
LAV
28%
22%
50%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Virtus Casarano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2021 |
PIC
1 - 0
VIR
61%
20%
19%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
PUT
0 - 1
VIR
22%
21%
57%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
VIR
1 - 0
BRI
66%
18%
16%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2021 |
SOR
2 - 0
VIR
34%
23%
43%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
VIR
0 - 3
USB
45%
25%
31%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | -3 |