Gravina vs Lavello analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.1%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
29.6%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gravina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
FBC
0 - 1
CAS
33%
27%
41%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
AUD
2 - 1
FBC
73%
17%
10%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
FBC
0 - 2
NOC
55%
26%
20%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | -2 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
NAR
2 - 3
FBC
31%
25%
43%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
BIS
2 - 3
FBC
33%
26%
41%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Lavello
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2022 |
ROT
2 - 1
LAV
33%
24%
44%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
VIR
1 - 1
LAV
46%
23%
32%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
LAV
2 - 0
BIS
51%
22%
27%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | +2 |
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
HYR
0 - 0
LAV
37%
23%
40%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
LAV
0 - 0
ASD
45%
23%
32%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |