Gravina vs Mariglianese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.5%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
20%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gravina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
USB
2 - 2
FBC
53%
25%
23%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2022 |
PVM
3 - 2
FBC
15%
19%
66%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | -2 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
FBC
2 - 0
LAV
47%
23%
30%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
FBC
0 - 1
CAS
33%
27%
41%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
AUD
2 - 1
FBC
73%
17%
10%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Mariglianese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
VIR
2 - 1
MAR
62%
20%
18%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
MAR
0 - 1
BIS
47%
23%
30%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2022 |
FCF
2 - 1
MAR
69%
18%
14%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
HYR
1 - 1
MAR
51%
22%
27%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
MAR
1 - 0
ASD
32%
24%
44%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | +3 |