Gravina vs Nardò analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.7%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
28.2%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+40%
+50%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gravina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
FBC
1 - 0
BIS
30%
27%
43%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
ASD
0 - 1
FBC
48%
25%
27%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
FBC
0 - 0
ASD
41%
26%
33%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
FBC
1 - 2
VIR
37%
23%
40%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
FBC
1 - 1
ASF
44%
25%
32%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Nardò
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
NAR
0 - 1
VIR
41%
26%
33%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
HYR
2 - 1
NAR
37%
26%
38%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
NAR
2 - 2
VIR
34%
24%
42%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
NAR
4 - 2
ASD
46%
25%
29%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
AUD
4 - 1
NAR
68%
19%
13%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | -1 |