Fatsa Belediye vs 68 Aksaray Belediyespor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.2%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
48.5%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+52%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
8º
17º
16º
73
1º
7º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 72 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
59 | 59 |
4º
|
93% | |
|
5º
|
59 | 59 |
5º
|
93% | |
|
6º
|
58 | 58 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
52 | 52 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
47 | 47 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
44 | 44 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
41 | 44 |
10º
|
69.5% | |
|
10º
|
43 | 43 |
11º
|
69.5% | |
|
11º
|
42 | 42 |
12º
|
71% | |
|
13º
|
39 | 39 |
13º
|
90.5% | |
|
14º
|
36 | 36 |
14º
|
66% | |
|
15º
|
31 | 35 |
15º
|
59% | |
|
|
16º
|
28 | 29 |
16º
|
66.5% | |
|
17º
|
26 | 29 |
17º
|
69% | |
|
18º
|
14 | 14 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
2.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
97.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fatsa Belediye
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
MUS
1 - 1
FAT
63%
22%
15%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
NIG
0 - 6
FAT
67%
20%
12%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | +2 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
FAT
2 - 4
ANK
34%
30%
36%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
BER
0 - 0
FAT
60%
21%
18%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
FAT
0 - 0
SIO
32%
24%
44%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
68 Aksaray Belediyespor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2022 |
SEK
2 - 0
YAK
47%
25%
29%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
YAK
1 - 0
NIG
57%
23%
20%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
ANK
1 - 1
YAK
34%
26%
40%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
YAK
0 - 0
BER
64%
21%
15%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
SIO
0 - 0
YAK
27%
25%
48%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |